A claim reserve is an estimate of what a claim will
cost. The reserve represents money that is set aside for
the eventual payment of a claim. From the company's standpoint,
a claim is incurred when it happens, regardless of when
in the future it is paid.
Since reserves represent future obligations of an insurance
company, they are classified as liabilities on the company's
balance sheet. Reserves are obviously important since they
can be a measure of a company's financial health. Improper
reserves, either inadequate or excessive, can present a
false picture of a company's financial condition and lead
to serious problems.
Some companies include estimated claim expenses in the
reserve amount while others establish a separate reserve
for the claim and a separate reserve for anticipated expenses,
such as independent adjuster fees, legal fees, charges for
police reports, hospital records, appraisals, and so on.
In most cases where property claims are concerned there
will likely be enough information provided at the time of
reporting the claim for the claims handler to make a subjectively
informed decision as to an appropriate Opening Reserve.
The claims handler will also be expected to refer to statistical
data relating to similar claims in a particular portfolio
when considering the appropriateness of an opening claim
reserve. Often reference to portfolio averages will provide
further indication of the appropriateness of the opening
claim reserve.
Where the claims handler is of the opinion that they are
unable to immediately set a subjectively accurate opening
claim reserve the matter should be reported to the claims
manager who shall be required to undertake further enquires
in respect of the size, scope and complexity of the claim
and where necessary use statistical data to set the Opening
Reserve.
The difference, if any, between the Opening Reserve and
Final Settlement serves as an important statistic because
when viewed in batch like statistics it helps an insurance
company to determine whether or not there is a systematic
flaw in its reserving practice such as consistent under
or over reserving by portfolio.
There is no magic or proven formula for setting individual
case reserves. They are established essentially by the judgment
and experience of the claim practitioner.
Proper and realistic case reserving is one of the primary
responsibilities of the claims department. Regardless of
who sets the reserve, however, the claim adjuster is in
an ideal position to furnish the kind of information necessary
to set accurate and realistic case reserves. This necessary
information includes the adjuster's opinion of legal liability,
nature and extent of the injury or damage, medical bills,
and so on.
In any event, claims reserves must always be reserved on
the basis of the best information available and should always
include;
| Example
of reserving an individual claim: |
| Stage 1.
Notification by telephone from shop keeper client
of broken glass and theft of some stock. General
information sought in accordance with
"Telephone Claim Notification Form". The client has already called for glass replacement
who quoted $1,500 and estimates about $5,000 of
stock stolen.
Opening Reserve: $ 6,500
Stage 2.
Claim Form received with supporting material.
Replacement of glass remains at $1,500 however,
the client now estimates $10,000 of stock missing
but cannot support the amount by documentation.
Must now appoint assessor and include in reserve
such fees (i.e. $1,500) and increased stock
loss.
Amended Reserve: $ 13,000
Stage 3.
Assessor's report received, based on enquires
recommends settlement in the sum of $7,500 to
which the client agrees. Assessor fees $1,200
and glass remains the same.
Settlement: $ 10,200
|
Claim Reserving Industry Methodologies
Why Are Claim Reserves Necessary?
Insurance is characterized as an "intangible"
product because the insured does not receive anything material
or tangible for his or her premium dollar until a claim
is paid. The payment of a claim is what consummates the
insurance contract. It is especially important, therefore,
that when claims become due, money is available to meet
those obligations. Insurance companies are regulated for
solvency so that they will be able to pay claims in the
future.
With respect to liability claims, and particularly bodily
injury liability claims, years may pass before a claim is
paid. This might be due to the fact that time is needed
for the injury to heal or because the claim is in litigation.
Because of the extended time involved before such claims
are finally settled and closed, bodily injury liability
claims are sometimes referred to as "long tail"" claims.
Since an insurer has an obligation to pay covered claims,
it is understandably important that funds be available
for this purpose when claims are ultimately settled.
Claim reserves are necessary to properly recognize,
at any given time, a company's future obligations.
The importance of proper reserving is further demonstrated
by the fact that claim reserves are required by insurance
regulatory law. In addition, the reserving practices of
companies are periodically audited by state insurance
departments in an effort to recognize potential problems
and to take corrective action to avoid company insolvencies.
Improper reserving, both under-reserving and over-reserving,
adversely affect a company's financial position. Inadequate
reserves understate a company's liabilities and overstate
its surplus. The following example, although admittedly
an oversimplification, should help demonstrate the effect
of under-reserving.
A basic accounting principle is that assets minus liabilities
equal surplus.
In this hypothetical example, assume that assets are
$1,000 and liabilities are $750. For purposes of illustration,
assume further that liabilities are comprised totally
of claim reserves.
| Assets |
- |
Liabilities |
= |
Surplus |
| $1,000 |
- |
$750 |
= |
$250 |
Suppose, however, that this particular company has a
serious under-reserving problem, and as claims are ultimately
settled, they actually cost $950, instead of the $750
originally estimated.
Under these circumstances, the balance sheet would appear
as follows:
| Assets |
- |
Liabilities |
= |
Surplus |
| $1,000 |
- |
$750 |
= |
$250 (estimated) |
| $1,000 |
- |
$950 |
= |
$50 (actual) |
It is evident here that as claims are settled, the company
must draw from its surplus in order to meet its claim
settlement obligations. If such a situation continues
unchecked, and surplus is depleted, the company faces
insolvency.
In addition to the fact that inadequate reserving understates
the company's liabilities and overstates its surplus,
it also may have a negative effect on rate making. Since
reserves are an integral part of rate making, inadequate
reserves can result in rates that are lower than they
should be and this may hasten a company's decline.
Over-reserving can create problems as well. Over-reserving
understates a company's financial strength and may create
the false impression that rate increases are necessary
or justified. In addition, since earnings are understated,
the company pays less taxes. A company suspected of over-reserving
invites audits by the tax authorities that could result
in penalties being assessed against it.
In summary, claim reserves are necessary to properly
recognize a company's future obligations. Proper reserving
is important in order to accurately reflect a company's
financial position. The importance of proper reserving
is further demonstrated by the attention given to companies'
loss reserving practices by the various state insurance
departments.
Proper and realistic case reserving is one of the primary
responsibilities of the claim department. Who sets the
reserve, whether it be the adjuster, supervisor, or manager,
is determined by individual company claim policy. Regardless
of who sets the reserve, however, the claim adjuster is
in an ideal position to furnish the kind of information
necessary to set accurate and realistic case reserves.
This necessary information includes the adjuster's opinion
of legal liability, nature and extent of the injury or
damage, medical bills, and so on.
Precisely when in the life of a claim a case reserve
is established varies by company and by line of insurance.
Some companies require that case reserves be established
immediately after the initial investigation is completed
or within 30 days from notice of claim. Other companies
defer setting case reserves for as long as three or even
six months, so that sufficient information can be obtained
to set a relatively realistic reserve. Until that time,
these claims usually carry an average reserve.
The more specific information the adjuster obtains about
the loss or claim, the more accurate the reserve will
be. With the necessary information, the person responsible
for setting the reserve can make a fairly accurate assessment
of the company's exposure and decide upon a monetary figure
that represents the ultimate cost of the claim.
In those cases in which little or no payment is contemplated,
such as where the insured's liability is doubtful and
the case will be defended or settled on a compromise basis,
the expense factor must be considered. An expense reserve
is usually established to reflect the fact that considerable
investigative and legal expenses will be incurred to defend
the claim.
One of the problems with setting case reserves for a
bodily injury claim is that it is difficult to estimate
the ultimate cost of a claim with only limited information
about the injury and no specific indication of how and
to what extent the injured person will recover. In addition,
important information about the claim or injury may not
be known at the time the reserve is established. A turn
for the worse in the claimant's injury, for example, may
render the initial reserve inadequate. Or a witness adverse
to the insured's position may be discovered later in the
life of a claim.
The following hypothetical example or analogy might help
newer claim people understand the case reserving process
more clearly:
Assume that a family of four is planning a 10-day vacation
that will include driving to a resort area several hundred
miles from home. The family estimates that the entire
vacation will cost $5,000. This includes meals, hotel,
gasoline, tolls, and some fun money. Will the family simply
budget for $5,000? Maybe, maybe not. It is evident that
there is an element of uncertainty in making a trip of
this nature, and unforeseen events could arise that increase
the cost of the vacation. What if the car breaks down
on the way? What if a family member gets sick and must
be taken to a hospital emergency room? What if the driver
gets ticketed for speeding?
For these reasons, it usually is necessary to carry additional
funds (or add in a cushion for safety) to meet these potential
contingencies. In all likelihood, the family will budget
some extra amount for unforeseen contingencies, perhaps
$5,500 or $6,000.
Although the family will try to keep within its $5,000
budget, chances are that the cost of the vacation could
exceed the $5,000 estimate. Likening this to a claim reserving
situation, some claim people may use the $5,000 as a reserve
while others take a more cautious or conservative view
and add in an allowance for uncertainty, and might reserve
the claim at $5,500 or $6,000.
Case reserves should be checked periodically. Although
most companies prefer that the initial reserve accurately
reflect the ultimate probable cost of the claim, reality
suggests rather strongly that reserves need to be adjusted
periodically. As new developments occur in a claim, whether
favorable or adverse, reserves should be revised to reflect
those developments.
| Case reserve considerations: |
|
Case reserve considerations: |
What would be a fair settlement amount?
What would be a likely jury award? |
|
Claimant's impression on a jury
Attorney skills (plaintiff and defendant)
Local verdict climate
Coverage or liability factors
|
Injury cases: Nature
and extent of injury
Medical expenses
Lost income, past and projected
Diagnosis
Prognosis
Extent of permanent disfigurement
Age, sex, occupation, dependents, etc. |
|
Property cases: Total
value of damaged property
Coverage issues
Business interruption issues
Non-contract issues
Weather
Hard-to-replace materials
Laws affecting repair or demolition |
Claims reserving should also include Incurred But Not
Reported Claims (IBNR) -
Frequently, losses or accidents that have already happened
are not reported for weeks, months, or even years after
the incident. This is quite common after a catastrophe
such as a hurricane or tornado, when early on the company
does not know with any accuracy the number or amount of
claims that will be generated as a result of the catastrophe.
It knows losses have been incurred, but realizes that
many of those losses will not be reported immediately.
In such cases, it estimates the losses it believes to
have been incurred but not yet reported. Despite the fact
that these claims have not been reported, they are incurred
from the company's standpoint when they happen. Hence,
the phrase "incurred but not reported" is used
to describe this type of reserve.
With regard to liability claims, accident reports may
be delayed for a variety of reasons. Aside from the normal
time lag in reporting claims, the insured may be initially
unaware that insurance coverage is available for the claim
or the claimant may not immediately recognize that the
policyholder may have been responsible for the accident.
Products liability, medical malpractice, and latent disease
claims (i.e., asbestos or lead-related claims) where injuries
may not be evident for years after the occurrence or exposure,
have magnified reserving problems associated with properly
estimating IBNR reserves.
Whatever the reason for the delayed report, it is reasonably
safe to assume that a company always has outstanding claims
that have not yet been reported.
Estimates for IBNR reserves ordinarily are based on past
experience, to the extent possible. They may be further
modified by what actuaries believe are relatively certain
projections regarding claim frequency and severity. With
respect to catastrophe losses, the claim practitioner
can estimate the areas (states, counties, etc.) and number
of insured's who may have sustained damage to arrive at
an IBNR reserve, which may change from month to month.
Conclusion
Although claim case reserving philosophy may vary by
company, regardless of the methods used, accurate claim
reserving is a major component of the overall claims process.
Not only does it serve as a measure of a company's financial
health, but it provides a picture of claim trends and
assists underwriters in determining whether pricing is
realistic or whether action is needed to improve results.
It may be the primary responsibility of the claim department,
but claim reserving affects the entire company. An awareness
and understanding of reserves by the various functional
departments contributes to more informed and effective
collaboration in gauging potential outcomes and taking
the proper steps to improve overall results.
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